I need to take an L. Not on Trump, I did say the Epstein files would not be released in a way damaging to Israel, so this counts.
The L is on AI. I thought skilled coding might generate breakthroughs. It turns out throwing more compute at it is the only effective approach, implying that the higher estimates of human brain's computational capacity are probably right and we just need to get fast enough servers in vast AI factories and they'll replicate every human trick eventually.