ERROR 301 (@realcaseyrollins@pleasehug.me) @realcaseyrollins@gameliberty.club

@realcaseyrollins

Sort of, the scientific method isnt that simple.. you cant just assume that because something has happened in the past it will happen in the future. You need a hypothesis as to why, an understanding, test the edge cases, and then understand the pattern well enough to say what it will do in the future and also what factors may cause it to stop doing that in the future.

For example the scientific method has allowed us to create a theory of gravitation, and we know that unless the sun goes super novae or some other massive body enters the solar system, it is likely to continue on course. In other words, the difference between now and in the anctient past is now we actually have a working theory, not just an assumption that things will remain unchanged just cause we never saw it change.

@SecondJon

@SecondJon

No doubt. People are often surprised that the truth contradicts what they felt certain was truth, but was not.

If you show me a greater proof thant he anecdotal evidence I have right now I would be happy to change my mind.

But right now all I have is anecdotal evidence and it is so overwhelmingly consistent that I adopt it as truth, I will consider it as truth until I have a greater evidence otherwise.

I would agree that most members of the political and media community are also just as bad. But the term "all" (though its a lot) doesnt really apply there due to the initial logic. With cops if there were one good apple he would go around arresting the bad ones until he gets arrested, thus wouldnt be able to exist as a cop. With the media, however, someone who is "good in the media and reporting on unpopular facts isnt going to necessarily get fired, they may just work for a publication no one wants to read and as such will never really get ahead, but otherwise can still be a journalist. so the rules are a bit different and I'm less likely to use the term "all" and in that case would just say "vast majority"

@realcaseyrollins

@guizzy @rw @moonman Sorry you are blocked and reported

@tuxcrafting @crunklord420 @realcaseyrollins #doglivesmatter

If you say cops should use force to stop rioters, thieves and terrorists from burning every American city to the ground you will be fired from any Wall Street connected firm.

Let that sink in.

@freemo
Fair enough. I'd venture to say that a lot of what seems obvious is often mistaken. Or no one would ever be surprised by what statistical analysis really does show. As you said, you can't expect people to believe what is provable, nevermind what isn't. I bet whatever they believe in contrast is simply obvious to them.

I think if global police corruption is true, and we have no data so we need to just rely on me assertion, then it means that all politicians and members of the media are just as bad, just as complicit, or that would have brought this to light as well, as they may be the only ones able to. Give me a few minutes, maybe we can get all mastodon admins and users lumped in as well.. (my subtle humor, not going to link you on with police corruption. Yet.)

Off to play in magical fairly land. Have a great day.

@realcaseyrollins

The Mitsu has fled!

@realcaseyrollins @freemo
I'm not at this point arguing that you're wrong about corruption. Just about the basis for the claim. Maybe I'm misreading. I tend to believe that my personal experience and those of others I know is a very small sample size that I interpret largely through confirmation bias and the availability heuristic, so try to not make global truth claims based on it.

@realcaseyrollins
I'm not a statistician, but the argument seems odd to me. I'm normally quite impressed by freemo's statical perspective.

I can't think there's a lot of situations where would pass as a solid truth claim: I have personal experience and I heard others who agree with me, therefore the only only way I can be wrong is if there's a magical fairy land. Disagreement with my assertion is believing in magical fairly lands. *mic drop*

@freemo

@realcaseyrollins I did not know feddit was a thing, but I'm glad to know now. Though with a name like feddit, I would have expected more fedposting.

@realcaseyrollins I have no expectation of people believing things that are provable, let alone things that are not.

Most of the time I have no expectation people will even believe the earth is round at this point. so pretty sure I can give you a pass on this one too :)

Scott Adams live now: https://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays/status/1268180767512788992

and he tells story how he was not promoted because he was white and his employer needed diversity.

Some TV Stations Are Refusing To Show It (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5w7kwtLJtVc)